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Despite the loosening of the labor markets, income gains remain sufficient to support spending at a moderate pace. - Steven Wood Quotes

Despite the loosening of the labor markets, income gains remain sufficient to support spending at a moderate pace.

New and continuing claims are at levels that historically have been associated with payroll employment gains of around 225,000. Labor markets are gradually improving. - Steven Wood Quotes

New and continuing claims are at levels that historically have been associated with payroll employment gains of around 225,000. Labor markets are gradually improving.

Despite improving international economies, the strong dollar is limiting the expected rebound in exports. - Steven Wood Quotes

Despite improving international economies, the strong dollar is limiting the expected rebound in exports.

In an environment of slower growth, steady job creation, weaker productivity gains, and modestly rising inflation that we envision for 2005, the FOMC will continue to lift its target federal funds rate, - Steven Wood Quotes

In an environment of slower growth, steady job creation, weaker productivity gains, and modestly rising inflation that we envision for 2005, the FOMC will continue to lift its target federal funds rate,

These data suggest that a bottoming in economic activity is taking place, but a bit more inventory adjustment is needed to insure a re-acceleration in growth. - Steven Wood Quotes

These data suggest that a bottoming in economic activity is taking place, but a bit more inventory adjustment is needed to insure a re-acceleration in growth.

There is clear and strong evidence that the factory sector is expanding solidly, - Steven Wood Quotes

There is clear and strong evidence that the factory sector is expanding solidly,

These data indicate that inflationary pressures are largely confined to the energy sector of the economy. Moreover, because inflation is a lagging indicator of overall economic activity, the recent sharp slowing of [economic] growth should dampen inflation over the balance of the year. - Steven Wood Quotes

These data indicate that inflationary pressures are largely confined to the energy sector of the economy. Moreover, because inflation is a lagging indicator of overall economic activity, the recent sharp slowing of [economic] growth should dampen inflation over the balance of the year.

We still expect economic activity to slow over the next several quarters as consumer spending slows further and housing declines more because of higher interest rates and energy costs. The absence of inflation will be welcomed at the Federal Reserve. - Steven Wood Quotes

We still expect economic activity to slow over the next several quarters as consumer spending slows further and housing declines more because of higher interest rates and energy costs. The absence of inflation will be welcomed at the Federal Reserve.

Huge swings in energy and motor vehicle prices have masked a sharp retreat in core producer inflation over the past 6 months. - Steven Wood Quotes

Huge swings in energy and motor vehicle prices have masked a sharp retreat in core producer inflation over the past 6 months.

If you've had very quick home-price appreciation, you don't have to raise rents too much. But if home-price appreciation slows, landlords will have to raise rents to start to cover that negative cash flow. - Steven Wood Quotes

If you've had very quick home-price appreciation, you don't have to raise rents too much. But if home-price appreciation slows, landlords will have to raise rents to start to cover that negative cash flow.

In an environment of slower growth, steady job creation, weaker productivity gains, and modestly rising inflation that we envision for 2005, the FOMC will continue to lift its target federal funds rate. - Steven Wood Quotes

In an environment of slower growth, steady job creation, weaker productivity gains, and modestly rising inflation that we envision for 2005, the FOMC will continue to lift its target federal funds rate.

Housing fundamentals are deteriorating. Mortgage rates have been flat since the beginning of the year. Job creation and income growth has slowed. Equity markets have plunged over the past year. And consumer confidence has tumbled. Moreover, mortgage applications have trailed off. All of these suggest that home sales should weaken over the next several months. - Steven Wood Quotes

Housing fundamentals are deteriorating. Mortgage rates have been flat since the beginning of the year. Job creation and income growth has slowed. Equity markets have plunged over the past year. And consumer confidence has tumbled. Moreover, mortgage applications have trailed off. All of these suggest that home sales should weaken over the next several months.

These data add to the growing evidence that economic activity has slowed and that any re-acceleration is likely to be short-lived. - Steven Wood Quotes

These data add to the growing evidence that economic activity has slowed and that any re-acceleration is likely to be short-lived.

The Sept. 11 terrorist attacks seem to have had little impact on the factory sector so far. However, many industries have already reported further production cuts as demand has waned. A more substantial contraction is expected next month. - Steven Wood Quotes

The Sept. 11 terrorist attacks seem to have had little impact on the factory sector so far. However, many industries have already reported further production cuts as demand has waned. A more substantial contraction is expected next month.

The deterioration in economic activity would argue for a more aggressive move, but the Fed has rarely moved by more than (half a point) during Greenspan's tenure, - Steven Wood Quotes

The deterioration in economic activity would argue for a more aggressive move, but the Fed has rarely moved by more than (half a point) during Greenspan's tenure,

Retail spending was much stronger than anticipated. Although some of these gains were due to post-hurricane spending, it appears that consumers are not yet ready to throw in the towel. - Steven Wood Quotes

Retail spending was much stronger than anticipated. Although some of these gains were due to post-hurricane spending, it appears that consumers are not yet ready to throw in the towel.

The narrowing of the budget shortfall in October is largely due to timing factors. Nevertheless, there is no apparent deterioration caused by the federal relief efforts following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. - Steven Wood Quotes

The narrowing of the budget shortfall in October is largely due to timing factors. Nevertheless, there is no apparent deterioration caused by the federal relief efforts following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita.

These data are broadly consistent with payroll employment gains in the 200,000 to 250,000 (monthly) range. - Steven Wood Quotes

These data are broadly consistent with payroll employment gains in the 200,000 to 250,000 (monthly) range.

Although the fundamentals have deteriorated builders have been cautious, so there is no imbalance of unsold new homes, ... Therefore, as long as new home sales are maintained near current levels, housing construction can also continue near these levels. - Steven Wood Quotes

Although the fundamentals have deteriorated builders have been cautious, so there is no imbalance of unsold new homes, ... Therefore, as long as new home sales are maintained near current levels, housing construction can also continue near these levels.

Clearly, the best news on inflation is past. These data show that households were spending aggressively last year and that there is a great deal of spending momentum coming into 2000. The Fed needs to tighten now, and they will. - Steven Wood Quotes

Clearly, the best news on inflation is past. These data show that households were spending aggressively last year and that there is a great deal of spending momentum coming into 2000. The Fed needs to tighten now, and they will.

Despite a robust economy and tight labor markets, inflation is still low and steady. These data provide some relief for the Federal Open Market Committee. - Steven Wood Quotes

Despite a robust economy and tight labor markets, inflation is still low and steady. These data provide some relief for the Federal Open Market Committee.

If sustained, lower sentiment could adversely impact real consumer spending but there is little evidence that has happened . . . so far. The [Fed] is more nervous. - Steven Wood Quotes

If sustained, lower sentiment could adversely impact real consumer spending but there is little evidence that has happened . . . so far. The [Fed] is more nervous.

Economic activity flattened out at the end of the summer, suggesting that the nascent recovery may have already been aborted. - Steven Wood Quotes

Economic activity flattened out at the end of the summer, suggesting that the nascent recovery may have already been aborted.

With last week's Fed tightening, mortgage rates have continued to rise, so that further declines in housing activity are likely over the balance of the year. Nevertheless, robust labor markets and rising incomes have helped sustain housing at a relatively high level. - Steven Wood Quotes

With last week's Fed tightening, mortgage rates have continued to rise, so that further declines in housing activity are likely over the balance of the year. Nevertheless, robust labor markets and rising incomes have helped sustain housing at a relatively high level.

The budget outlook has improved slightly so far this fiscal year, largely during to still robust tax receipts. - Steven Wood Quotes

The budget outlook has improved slightly so far this fiscal year, largely during to still robust tax receipts.

With the airlines reducing schedules, we've already seen that cascade back on airline manufacturers like Boeing, ... And that has cascading effects on hundreds, if not thousands, of vendors who supply parts and components to Boeing. - Steven Wood Quotes

With the airlines reducing schedules, we've already seen that cascade back on airline manufacturers like Boeing, ... And that has cascading effects on hundreds, if not thousands, of vendors who supply parts and components to Boeing.

With the airlines reducing schedules, we've already seen that cascade back on airline manufacturers like Boeing. And that has cascading effects on hundreds, if not thousands, of vendors who supply parts and components to Boeing. - Steven Wood Quotes

With the airlines reducing schedules, we've already seen that cascade back on airline manufacturers like Boeing. And that has cascading effects on hundreds, if not thousands, of vendors who supply parts and components to Boeing.

Our feeling is that markets are not going to rebound magically to a 100-machine market. So you have to learn to work in a very competitive, smaller market. - Steven Wood Quotes

Our feeling is that markets are not going to rebound magically to a 100-machine market. So you have to learn to work in a very competitive, smaller market.

With still strong domestic demand and improving international demand, the factory sector is continuing to recover from the sluggishness that resulted from the Asian economic crisis, - Steven Wood Quotes

With still strong domestic demand and improving international demand, the factory sector is continuing to recover from the sluggishness that resulted from the Asian economic crisis,

With still strong domestic demand and improving international demand, the factory sector is continuing to recover from the sluggishness that resulted from the Asian economic crisis. - Steven Wood Quotes

With still strong domestic demand and improving international demand, the factory sector is continuing to recover from the sluggishness that resulted from the Asian economic crisis.

Importantly for the Fed, the pace of real consumer spending slowed in March, and combined with early forecasts for lower vehicle and retail sales for April, suggests there is some scope for slower growth in the second quarter, - Steven Wood Quotes

Importantly for the Fed, the pace of real consumer spending slowed in March, and combined with early forecasts for lower vehicle and retail sales for April, suggests there is some scope for slower growth in the second quarter,

The level of economic optimism is still quite high, especially given the continued sluggishness in the economy, rising joblessness, corporate profits warnings and equity market volatility. - Steven Wood Quotes

The level of economic optimism is still quite high, especially given the continued sluggishness in the economy, rising joblessness, corporate profits warnings and equity market volatility.

The level of economic optimism is still quite high, especially given the continued sluggishness in the economy, rising joblessness, corporate profits warnings and equity market volatility, - Steven Wood Quotes

The level of economic optimism is still quite high, especially given the continued sluggishness in the economy, rising joblessness, corporate profits warnings and equity market volatility,

These data suggest that the manufacturing sector continues to bleed. Lower interest rates, fiscal stimulus and declining energy costs have not yet made any difference to this part of the economy. - Steven Wood Quotes

These data suggest that the manufacturing sector continues to bleed. Lower interest rates, fiscal stimulus and declining energy costs have not yet made any difference to this part of the economy.

Despite rising interest rates and higher energy costs, the consumer remains remarkably resilient. - Steven Wood Quotes

Despite rising interest rates and higher energy costs, the consumer remains remarkably resilient.

These data indicate that the manufacturing sectors of the economy are still reeling from slowing demand and bloated inventories. Further declines in output are likely. - Steven Wood Quotes

These data indicate that the manufacturing sectors of the economy are still reeling from slowing demand and bloated inventories. Further declines in output are likely.

The FOMC is smiling, as their preferred scenario is largely unfolding, - Steven Wood Quotes

The FOMC is smiling, as their preferred scenario is largely unfolding,

The FOMC is smiling, as their preferred scenario is largely unfolding. - Steven Wood Quotes

The FOMC is smiling, as their preferred scenario is largely unfolding.

The (Fed) may slow the pace of easing but they cannot stop yet. - Steven Wood Quotes

The (Fed) may slow the pace of easing but they cannot stop yet.

After adjusting for the storm effects, both initial and continuing claims appear to be near their pre-hurricane levels, indicating that labor markets remain strong despite the weak October payroll employment report. - Steven Wood Quotes

After adjusting for the storm effects, both initial and continuing claims appear to be near their pre-hurricane levels, indicating that labor markets remain strong despite the weak October payroll employment report.

Less refinancing activity should dampen consumer spending -- although that has not yet occurred. - Steven Wood Quotes

Less refinancing activity should dampen consumer spending -- although that has not yet occurred.

The narrowing of the budget shortfall in October is largely due to timing factors. Nevertheless, there is no apparent deterioration caused by the federal relief efforts following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita, - Steven Wood Quotes

The narrowing of the budget shortfall in October is largely due to timing factors. Nevertheless, there is no apparent deterioration caused by the federal relief efforts following Hurricanes Katrina and Rita,

Payroll employment for October will plunge sharply and unemployment will continue to rise, likely breaching 6 percent by early next year. - Steven Wood Quotes

Payroll employment for October will plunge sharply and unemployment will continue to rise, likely breaching 6 percent by early next year.

Payroll employment for October will plunge sharply and unemployment will continue to rise, likely breaching 6 percent by early next year, - Steven Wood Quotes

Payroll employment for October will plunge sharply and unemployment will continue to rise, likely breaching 6 percent by early next year,

The sharp slowing in domestic demand has dramatically reduced imports. Weakening economic activity in our major trading partners has significantly reduced the foreign demand for American-made products. - Steven Wood Quotes

The sharp slowing in domestic demand has dramatically reduced imports. Weakening economic activity in our major trading partners has significantly reduced the foreign demand for American-made products.

Although real consumer spending was strong it has slowed for two consecutive quarters and finished Q1 with very little momentum, ... In order to sustain recent strength in real consumer spending, job creation will need to accelerate further. - Steven Wood Quotes

Although real consumer spending was strong it has slowed for two consecutive quarters and finished Q1 with very little momentum, ... In order to sustain recent strength in real consumer spending, job creation will need to accelerate further.

Although real consumer spending was strong it has slowed for two consecutive quarters and finished Q1 with very little momentum. In order to sustain recent strength in real consumer spending, job creation will need to accelerate further. - Steven Wood Quotes

Although real consumer spending was strong it has slowed for two consecutive quarters and finished Q1 with very little momentum. In order to sustain recent strength in real consumer spending, job creation will need to accelerate further.

The terrorist attacks are going to make a bad situation even worse. - Steven Wood Quotes

The terrorist attacks are going to make a bad situation even worse.

Less refinancing activity should dampen consumer spending Ã¢â¬â although that has not yet occurred. - Steven Wood Quotes

Less refinancing activity should dampen consumer spending Ã¢â¬â although that has not yet occurred.

The (Fed) will continue to focus policy on reviving economic growth. - Steven Wood Quotes

The (Fed) will continue to focus policy on reviving economic growth.

Focus

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